Trump victory may be his downfall: Deakin political experts

Media release
10 November 2016
Donald Trump’s anti-establishment rhetoric has put him in a compromising situation as the non-politician must grapple with the responsibilities of the highest political office in the land – but his victory may be his downfall, according to Deakin University social sciences and political experts.

Associate Professor of Politics and Policy Benjamin Isakhan from the Alfred Deakin Institute for Citizenship and Globalisation (ADI), said he believed the way Trump would treat Clinton in the wake of his victory would offer clues to the tone of his presidency.

“Trump was lucky to have Clinton as an opponent, because Hillary’s problem was that she was widely distrusted and perceived as corrupt,” Associate Professor Isakhan said.

“If Trump had come up against someone like Obama, he would have been wiped out. Trump has previously said that if he was president, Clinton would ‘be in jail’. Although it’s unlikely, he may follow through on this threat to make an example of her.

“But this might be more about exerting authority than seeking revenge. Trump does not come to the White House with the full backing of his party, let alone the country. Rather, his nomination and candidacy has ruptured the Republican Party.

“Many predict that behind the scenes, Republicans are getting ready for the 2020 election; knowing that Trump’s presidency will be a disaster, and that the party will need to be redefined if it is to hold on to power.

“Any Republican who supported Trump in the election will now be tarred. He’ll become a pariah. This paves the way for a younger, more politically centred, socially progressive candidate who can unite the party, and the country, rather than divide it.

“His victory may ultimately be his downfall.”

Associate Professor of Philosophy Matthew Sharpe also put forward his views in the wake of the Trump victory, which he described as historic for all the wrong reasons.

“His talk of a rigged system, association with conspiracy theorists such as Alex Jones and calls to ‘drain the swamp’ of so-called establishment politics positioned him as a protest candidate, rather than a serious contender,” Associate Professor Sharpe said.

“Donald Trump’s election represents a decisive before-and-after moment in American life. Never before in the nation of George Washington and Abraham Lincoln has a man won office while threatening to imprison his opponent, and to not accept his own electoral defeat.”

With public discussion already surmising what Trump will achieve in his first 100 days, Associate Professor Sharpe said it was impossible to predict exactly what Trump would do next.

“If his campaign ads are to be believed, at the top of his list of priorities are building a border wall with Mexico (and somehow making Mexico pay for it), going to war with ISIS, tearing up crucial climate legislation and taking an extremely provocative and protectionist approach to trade with China,” he said.

“Never before has America been defined by such an extreme isolationist mindset, that advocates so enthusiastically for increased war (including the possible use of nuclear weapons). These policies will radically reshape how America is seen in the world for years to come.

“One can only hope that American democracy will not be fundamentally harmed by his administration.”

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Media release Alfred Deakin Institute for Citizenship and Globalisation (ADI)