Data shows Christmas groceries will cost more again this year

Media release

18 December 2023

Consumers shopping for Christmas basics will find little comfort in the cost of groceries this year as the price of many items continues to rise.

Data tracking by Deakin University's Global Centre for Preventive Health and Nutrition (GLOBE) in the Institute for Health Transformation (IHT) has found that many food prices have risen again, continuing the annual increases observed since 2020.

GLOBE post-doctoral research fellow Dr Christina Zorbas said consumers would feel the pinch this year, especially when shopping for pantry staples such as potatoes, frozen vegetables, milk, and cheese.

"For traditional Christmas fare such as ham and seafood, prices are a bit cheaper than last year, but these items are still on the expensive end compared to other staples," Dr Zorbas said.

"In comparison, it is worrying that the price of chicken has continued to rise from $3.55/kg in 2020 to $5.50/kg in 2023.

"The good news is that some fresh fruit and vegetables are cheaper than they were last year. We have seen price drops on items such as strawberries, cherries, peaches, apricots, lettuce, cucumber, avocado and zucchini.

"But other summer fruits like mangoes, pineapples and grapes are more expensive compared to this time last year.

“The attached table shows that basic food prices are continuing to fluctuate."

Dr Zorbas said some reasons for the price increases could be explained by high fuel prices, weather events and labour shortages but lack of transparency made it difficult to understand the core reasons, especially with supermarkets continuing to make sizeable profits.

"We commend recent support for a select Senate inquiry into food prices spearheaded by the Greens," Dr Zorbas said.

"This should go a long way towards understanding the pricing practices and concentrated power of the major supermarkets.

"We also welcome the recent report from the Federal Government's Inquiry into Food Insecurity which calls for a National Food Plan and policies to ensure fair food prices and the affordability of food across the supply chain.

"In the meantime, to beat the price rises this Christmas people should try to pre-plan their grocery shop, look for food that is in season and cheaper and be wary of all the marketing designed to push us towards buying unnecessary items during the festive season."

Food item

Size

Nov 2022 (average monthly price, $AU)

Nov 2023 (average monthly price, $AU)

% change over last 12 months*
(2022-2023)

Increase/No change/Decrease in price over last 12 months (2022-2023)?

Fruit

Mango

1 each

2.25

3.48

54.44%

Increase

Pineapple

1 each

3.60

4.40

22.22%

Increase

Grapes, red

per kg

11.65

12.80

9.87%

Increase

Strawberries

250g

3.23

3.03

-6.35%

Decrease

Cherries

300g

8.50

7.55

-11.18%

Decrease

Watermelon

per kg

3.20

2.63

-17.97%

Decrease

Peaches

per kg

8.65

6.89

-20.36%

Decrease

Apricots

per kg

12.93

8.40

-35.03%

Decrease

Vegetables

Potatoes, washed

2kg bag

5.63

7.50

33.33%

Increase

Potatoes, brushed

per kg

3.50

3.90

11.43%

Increase

Tomatoes

per kg

7.05

7.18

1.82%

Increase

Onion, brown

per kg

3.68

3.72

1.28%

Increase

Canned tomatoes

400g

1.60

2.03

26.56%

Increase

Frozen vegetables

1 kg

5.50

6.50

18.18%

Increase

Spinach, bagged

120g bag

3.00

3.00

0.00%

No change

Lettuce, iceberg

1 each

2.23

2.18

-2.25%

Decrease

Cucumber

1 each

1.73

1.56

-9.42%

Decrease

Avocado

1 each

2.10

1.35

-35.71%

Decrease

Zucchini

per kg

7.15

4.55

-36.36%

Decrease

Meats and seafood

Whole chicken, raw

per kg

5.00

5.50

10.00%

Increase

Pork roast, raw

per kg

10.00

10.00

0.00%

No change

Prawns, raw

260g

12.50

12.50

0.00%

No change

Ham, half leg

per kg

8.50

8.00

-5.88%

Decrease

Banana prawns, raw

per kg

26.00

20.00

-23.08%

Decrease

Dairy and eggs

Yoghurt, Greek style

1kg

6.00

6.50

8.33%

Increase

Milk, reduced fat

2L

4.60

4.85

5.43%

Increase

Eggs, free range

700g

6.80

7.15

5.15%

Increase

Cheese, block

500g

9.88

10.00

1.27%

Increase

Bread

Bread rolls, white

6 pack

2.50

2.65

6.00%

Increase

Bread rolls, multigrain

6 pack

2.50

2.65

6.00%

Increase

Desserts

Christmas pudding

700g

4.45

5.50

23.60%

Increase

Fruit mince pies

6 pack

5.50

6.50

18.18%

Increase

Cream

600mL

5.35

6.00

12.15%

Increase

Pavlova

500g

8.50

8.10

-4.71%

Decrease

*Sorted by most to least relative price change within food categories between 2022-23

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Media release Faculty of Health, School of Health and Social Development Institute for Health Transformation (IHT)